PCE seminar: Deterrence in EU military operations, on 14 June

PCE seminar: Deterrence in the context of European Union military operations
By Niklas Nováky (IES, Brussels)

When: Wednesday 14 June, 15.30-17.00
Where: Spiegelzaal GG80-82

This month’s presentation will be delivered by Niklas Nováky entitled, ‘Deterrence in the context of European Union military operations’. You are all welcome to attend. It will be the last PCE seminar of the current academic year.

Since 2003, the European Union (EU) has launched eight military operations with an executive mandate in the framework of its European (now Common) Security and Defence Policy (ESDP/CSDP), all of which have utilised deterrence to fulfil their missions. Some have done so implicitly by having a mission that requires them to keep certain actors from doing something unwanted, while others have done so explicitly by having deterrence clearly mentioned as one of their core tasks in their mandates. Despite this, deterrence in the context of CSDP has been an almost totally neglected subject in the academic literature. Furthermore, the EU itself has tended to take the deterrence effect of CSDP operations for granted, which is dangerous because it may blind it to potential problems that may in fact be undermining their credibility. This paper seeks to launch a more focused discussion on deterrence in the context of EU security policy by analysing the credibility of CSDP operations’ deterrence postures. Based on findings from case studies on operations Althea and Atalanta, it argues that CSDP operations’ deterrence postures lack credibility because they have insufficient resources for taking care of their deterrence tasks. Furthermore, they do not communicate threats effectively.

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